AI to Transform Weather Forecasting in the Philippines

The Department of Science and Technology (DOST) is set to transform weather forecasting in the Philippines through the use of artificial intelligence (AI), enhancing the regularity and accuracy of rain predictions. DOST to implement AI for more frequent forecasts in weather predictions in the face of increasingly uncertain patterns.

DOST Secretary Renato Solidum Jr. announced on September 11 that the new system would provide weather updates every 15 minutes, significantly increasing the current three-hour prediction cycle.

This AI integration is part of a broader effort to modernise the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) and improve its forecasting capabilities. Solidum emphasised that the technology will not only boost the frequency of predictions but also extend the forecast period from five to 14 days, offering more detailed and timely weather information to the public.

During a budget discussion for DOST and its attached agencies, Senator Juan Miguel Zubiri voiced concerns about the country’s operational Doppler radars. PAGASA Administrator Nathaniel Servando confirmed that only 11 out of the 19 radars are currently functional, with some requiring replacement. Solidum explained that the country ideally needs at least 21 radars to ensure redundancy in case of technical failures, but replacing ageing equipment is a slow process due to lengthy procurement procedures.

Zubiri supported the acquisition of additional radars, pointing out that other countries can predict the exact timing of rainfall – an area where the Philippines still lags. Solidum acknowledged the difficulty of weather prediction in an archipelagic nation like the Philippines, noting the difference between continental and island meteorology. He further mentioned PAGASA’s shift toward impact-based forecasting, which focuses on the potential effects of rain rather than just predicting its occurrence.

Despite these advancements, Solidum stressed the need for standardised operating procedures at the local level to ensure disaster managers can effectively respond to PAGASA’s rainfall warnings and forecasts. By incorporating AI into weather forecasting, DOST aims to provide the public with more precise and frequent updates, ultimately improving disaster preparedness across the country.

The Philippines is eager to leverage digital innovation to enhance its management of critical events and disasters. By integrating cutting-edge technologies like artificial intelligence (AI) and data-driven tools, the country aims to improve real-time decision-making and response strategies.

OpenGov Asia reported that the Office of Civil Defense (OCD) recently conducted a training programme in Baguio City aimed at enhancing the disaster management capabilities of local leaders and teams in the Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR).

The workshop focused on integrating digital technologies into Incident Command Systems (ICS), stressing the use of advanced software for real-time data, communication, and decision-making during emergencies. Over 50 participants, including mayors and disaster risk reduction officers, engaged in practical exercises to improve their skills in managing various disaster scenarios.

This initiative highlights a growing trend towards using digital tools to streamline disaster response, enhance community resilience, and ensure a coordinated approach to managing critical events. The OCD’s ongoing commitment to training reflects its dedication to advancing disaster preparedness through technology.

DICT Region 2 launched the Government Emergency Communications System-Mobile Operations Vehicle (GECS-MOVE), which enhances emergency response through advanced communication technologies. This system features a mobile communications hub, off-road vehicles, and motorcycles equipped with communication gear to ensure continuous connectivity and real-time coordination during disasters. The initiative highlights the crucial role of reliable communication in improving disaster management.

Such initiatives and advancements are especially crucial in a disaster-prone nation, where timely and accurate information can significantly reduce the impact of natural calamities. Efforts such as AI-powered weather forecasting and digital communication platforms reflect the nation’s commitment to strengthening disaster preparedness and resilience.